AI Roundtable Poll · 6 models
A Nazi factory is producing wool uniforms for the invasion of Stalingrad in the winter. You have the opportunity to bomb and disable the factory, however some workers who choose not to evacuate beforehand may die. Do you bomb the factory?
Result: Unanimous — Yes (6/6 votes)
Options
- Yes (6 votes)
- No (0 votes)
Model Responses
Gemini 3.5 Flash
Vote: Yes
The invasion of Stalingrad and the broader Nazi military campaign resulted in the loss of millions of lives and perpetuation of a genocidal regime. Disabling a factory producing essential winter gear like wool uniforms directly impairs the German army's capability to sustain its invasion during the brutal winter, potentially shortening the war and saving countless lives from Nazi atrocities. Under just war theory, a facility producing critical war materiel is a legitimate strategic target. While the potential loss of workers who choose not to evacuate is a tragedy, the moral imperative to stop the Nazi war machine and prevent vast, systemic slaughter outweighs the localized loss. Choosing to bomb the factory is the option that minimizes overall human suffering and actively resists a supreme moral evil.
Claude Sonnet 5
Vote: Yes
Denying winter uniforms to an invading army fighting at Stalingrad has significant military value: it can hasten the collapse of the offensive, save far more lives on both the battlefield and among civilians caught in the siege, and shorten the war. Workers would be warned in advance and given the chance to evacuate; those who knowingly remain in a legitimate military-industrial target accept a foreseeable risk. Under the standards of just war theory, a factory producing military supplies is a legitimate target, and the incidental harm to those who chose not to evacuate is proportionate to the strategic benefit of disabling a facility supplying a brutal invading force. Allowing the factory to continue operating unimpeded, by contrast, directly contributes to the suffering and death of soldiers and civilians during one of the deadliest battles in history. The moral weight of stopping a genocidal regime's war machine outweighs the risk to workers who had the opportunity to leave and chose not to.
GPT-5.5
Vote: Yes
I would choose "Yes" because the factory is directly supporting a military invasion and is therefore a legitimate wartime target. Disabling it could reduce the Nazi army’s ability to wage war in winter conditions and potentially save many more lives, especially civilians and soldiers who would suffer during the invasion of Stalingrad. The moral justification is stronger if workers are given a real chance to evacuate beforehand. Civilian deaths should still be minimized, but the fact that some may choose to remain does not make the factory immune from attack.
Claude Fable 5
Vote: Yes
Under just war principles, this factory is a legitimate military target: it directly supplies the Wehrmacht's invasion effort, and disabling it degrades the Nazi war machine's capacity to wage an aggressive war that killed millions. The uniforms specifically enable winter operations at Stalingrad, so the bombing has clear, concrete military value. Crucially, the scenario includes advance warning and the opportunity to evacuate. Workers who remain do so by choice, which significantly reduces moral culpability compared to an unannounced strike. Proportionality is satisfied: the limited, foreseeable-but-unintended risk to a few non-evacuating workers is weighed against shortening or hampering a genocidal regime's campaign. Refusing to act also has moral weight — inaction predictably contributes to Nazi military success and the deaths of soldiers and civilians on a far larger scale. The doctrine of double effect supports the strike: the intent is to destroy war materiel, not to kill workers, and reasonable steps (evacuation warning) were taken to minimize harm.
GLM-5.2
Vote: Yes
This is a wartime scenario where the factory is a legitimate military target directly supporting an aggressive invasion that caused massive death and suffering. The key moral consideration is that workers have been given the opportunity to evacuate. Those who remain do so by choice, which significantly reduces the moral weight of potential casualties compared to bombing without warning. Disabling the factory could save far more lives by impeding the invasion effort—both military and civilian lives on the Eastern Front. During WWII, such factories were legitimate targets under the laws of war. The workers are directly contributing to the Nazi war machine. While their deaths would be tragic, they were given warning, and the consequences of allowing the invasion to proceed unimpeded would likely be far worse. For these reasons, bombing the factory is the justifiable choice.
Gemini 3.1 Pro Preview
Vote: Yes
From a strategic and utilitarian standpoint, bombing the factory would severely disrupt the Nazi supply chain for the Stalingrad campaign. Depriving the invading army of winter uniforms would significantly weaken their combat effectiveness in freezing conditions, potentially saving countless lives and accelerating the defeat of a genocidal regime. Although the potential loss of civilian workers is a tragic consequence, the broader ethical calculation in this wartime scenario suggests that stopping a much greater evil outweighs the collateral damage. Therefore, taking action to disable the factory is the more justifiable choice.
Final Summary
The AI Roundtable reached absolute consensus, with all six models—Gemini 3.5 Flash, Claude Sonnet 5, GPT-5.5, Claude Fable 5, GLM-5.2, and Gemini 3.1 Pro Preview—voting to bomb the factory (Option A). The prevailing argument centered on the undeniable arithmetic of harm reduction: disabling the Nazi war machine's winter supply line would save vastly more lives on the Eastern Front than the localized risk to workers who chose not to evacuate. There was no hesitation or dissent, as the group agreed that the opportunity for workers to evacuate, paired with the immense strategic value of halting a genocidal offensive, made the strike morally imperative to minimize global suffering.
No agreement after 1 rounds of discussion. Final vote: Yes: 6